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    Weather Update: Southwest Monsoon's Retreat Signals Varied Rainfall Patterns Across India

  • Date : 26 September, 2023

    The Southwest Monsoon is on the brink of withdrawal from parts of West Rajasthan yesterday, September 25, as meteorological conditions continue to evolve across India. A gentle anti-cyclonic flow in Northwest India and dry weather in parts of southwest Rajasthan are paving the way for this significant meteorological shift.

    Dry Spell Across Rajasthan and Punjab Plains

    With the monsoon's withdrawal, generally dry conditions are expected to prevail across the Rajasthan and Punjab plains for the next five days. However, some isolated to scattered light to moderate rains and thunderstorms are likely to grace Haryana and Punjab over the next two days.

    Multiple Cyclonic Circulations and Rainfall Predictions

    Several cyclonic circulations and troughs are influencing weather patterns in different parts of India. A cyclonic circulation is currently situated over Southeast Uttar Pradesh and the surrounding areas. Another cyclonic circulation can be found over North interior Odisha and its vicinity. A trough extends from Gangetic West Bengal to Telangana, crossing Odisha and south Chhattisgarh. Additionally, a cyclonic circulation persists over the south Gujarat region in the middle tropospheric levels.

    Under the influence of these systems, Bihar can expect light to moderate rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms, lightning, and isolated heavy falls on September 25. Similar weather conditions are anticipated for Southwest Madhya Pradesh on the same date. Gujarat is set to experience fairly widespread to widespread rainfall from September 25 to September 29, while Madhya Maharashtra can expect these conditions from September 27 to September 29.

    Konkan and Goa should prepare for rain on September 25 and then again from September 28 to September 29. Coastal Karnataka and Kerala are likely to witness rainfall from September 27 to September 29, with North Interior Karnataka experiencing rain on September 25 and again from September 27 to September 29.


    Emerging Cyclonic Circulation in the Andaman Sea

    A fresh cyclonic circulation is expected to form over the North Andaman Sea and its surrounding areas on September 29. This system may lead to the development of a low-pressure area (LPA) over the North Andaman Sea and the adjoining East-Central Bay of Bengal within the next 24 hours. The LPA could subsequently move west-northwestward with the potential for gradual intensification.

    Before the arrival of this system, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands are likely to experience intense rainfall activity from September 25 to September 29. Isolated very heavy downpours could drench the islands from September 26 to September 29, with extremely heavy falls expected on September 29.

    Temperature Outlook

    Regarding temperatures, maximum temperatures are anticipated to remain below normal in the desert areas and adjacent semi-arid regions throughout the upcoming week. Overnight minimum temperatures are expected to hover around normal or slightly above normal levels across most of the country over the next five days.

    As India navigates these dynamic weather patterns, residents and authorities are advised to stay informed about local forecasts and prepare for varying conditions in different regions of the country.


    Source: Krishi Jagran



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Dipali Mahato
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Designation : Director, Central Institute of Fisheries Technology (ICAR-CIFT)



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